TDemocrats have plenty of reasons to fear a midterm explosion next year – and Bill de Blasio’s New York City helps explain why.
The party’s top-to-bottom defeats in the Virginia poll were not unique. A red wave also swept through Long Island, just east of New York City. There, Republicans took over the Nassau County executive seat and district attorney’s office and overthrew the outgoing Suffolk County DA. With polls showing Republicans are favored by an unprecedented 10 points on the generic Congressional ballot, there’s no doubt the suburbs are back without Trump on the ballot.
The rejection by voters of Virginia of Terry McAuliffe’s assertion that parents should not “tell schools what to teach” is a reminder that taxpaying parents are not spectators of their children’s education. Two plus two equals four is an objective fact – few outside academia believe the equation is a construct designed by an oppressive patriarchy. Ultimately, there’s hell to be paid if the family checkbook or the Wall Street books don’t add up.
Right now, Democrats look caught off guard and deaf. Nationally, they pledged to “aggressively” push back against Republican accusations that progressive school systems have made critical theory of race and white privilege cornerstones of the educational experience. The skepticism is justified as Democrats fight the competing demands of their coalition from above and below, a coalition that is also forced to worry about what AOC thinks.
Despite the increase in crime, the Biden administration has attacked the cash bond in the name of racial fairness. Remember, it was James Clyburn of South Carolina, the third House Democrat, who lamented his party’s left wing making “funding the police” its battle cry.
Meanwhile, Merrick Garland’s Justice Department is expected to offer a rock-solid race-based affirmative action defense in the United States Supreme Court in the Harvard admissions case. In case anyone forgot, Californian voters categorically rejected this path at the same time as they said “no” to a second Trump term.
Meanwhile in the Bronx and Westchester, Jamaal Bowman, the latest addition to the Squad, struggles to explain how he simultaneously voted against the infrastructure bill, but backs local funding for the BIF, and supports raising the cap on deductions for property taxes paid by its highest-paid voters. For a Democrat who opposes active voters and middle incomes, but gives the rich tax break, that is political incontinence, to say the least.
In the face of this record, don’t be surprised if the Democrats’ strategy for 2022 fails. Heck, Bill de Blasio, the city’s hapless mayor who ran for his own pathetic presidential candidacy in 2020, shows no contrition at all. As he prepares to run for governor, the city’s education ministry has announced that students will not be guaranteed a place at their local high school.
So much for treating parents as stakeholders, or the local public school as part of its surrounding community. In short, the things that the suburbs take for granted are to be handed out like trinkets in the five arrondissements.
Admittedly, the DOE’s statement is far from definitive, and in the face of parental reluctance, even de Blasio can be cold-eyed. In the end, Eric Adams, the incoming mayor of the city, will likely make the final decision, and from the appearance of things, he “gets it”.
Still, de Blasio’s signal is consistent with his previously announced opposition to strictly merit-based admissions to New York’s elite public high schools. There’s a reason families with school-aged children are leaving and enrollment has plummeted to the point where the city is desperately hiding these numbers and refusing to provide a breakdown by year.
All of this has already taken a political toll. Although New York City is predominantly Democratic, tensions arose in its Asian-American communities during the recent mayoral election. Curtis Sliwa, Adams’ Republican opponent, won 29% of the vote, but still managed to secure “44% of the vote in constituencies where more than half of the residents are Asian, exceeding his 40% of the vote. in the white enclaves. , 20% in predominantly Hispanic districts and 6% in predominantly black districts.
In addition to the high murder rate in New York City, a record number of crimes of prejudice perpetrated against Asians (124 in 2021 versus 28 in 2020) and Jews (164 in 2021 versus 111 in 2020), education has played a role. role in the fact that Sliwa struck above her weight in the Asian enclaves. His support for “merit-based SHSAT,” the scrutiny of academic major powers like Stuyvesant and Bronx Science, coupled with plans to expand gifted and talented programs, helped him avert an all-out electoral disaster.
And there are more storm clouds. According to a new report from the city comptroller, “excluding movements marked as ‘temporary’, the city’s net emigration increased by around 130,837 from March 2020 to June 2021, compared to pre-trends. pandemic “. In other words, COVID prompted some of New York’s wealthier residents to reassess the environment, and they realized they didn’t like what they were seeing.
As such, an expected change in the rules governing mortgage loans will likely reinforce this trend. A recent the Wall Street newspaper headline: “Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac to Support Nearly $ 1 Million Home Loans As Prices Soar”. Larchmont offers excellent schools, sports and less crime.
As always, culture matters. Today, just over half of Americans (52%) think the Democratic Party has moved too far to the left, but only 35% say the Republican Party has moved too far to the right. Right now, Democrats must wake up and smell the coffee: it’s burning.